PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

15billionplus

0x6406102b2a67e987021169910c178ac8aa7dbc04

Realised P&L
$-9.2k
Volume
$1.41M
Markets traded
1,515
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,515
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 12:17Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?SELL0.83$34.03
09-25 11:37Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?SELL0.46$69.00
09-25 10:09Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.71$14.20
09-25 09:23Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?SELL0.52$10.40
09-25 08:47Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?SELL0.71$7.10
09-25 08:45Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?SELL0.82$4.92
09-25 08:06Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.68$79.56
09-25 07:13Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?SELL0.77$7.70
09-25 05:15Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?SELL0.78$84.24
09-25 04:51Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?SELL0.76$4.56
09-25 04:26Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.67$13.40
09-25 04:09Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?SELL0.84$36.12
09-25 03:55Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?SELL0.81$0.63
09-25 03:55Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.52$0.40
09-25 03:55Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?SELL0.82$2.12