PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

D222222222

0x8998260fc9ed9fb76169c291493b77d3cfe62707

Realised P&L
$-5.4k
Volume
$348.2k
Markets traded
4,700
Open portfolio
$906.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,700
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? · No0.8000.790$15.80−$0.20
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? · No0.8360.688$13.75−$2.97
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31? · No0.8300.680$13.60−$3.00
Will Trevor Lawrence have 31.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7500.670$13.40−$1.60
Will the Parti Québécois win by between 30 and 39 seats? · No0.7300.635$12.70−$1.90
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8370.607$12.14−$4.60
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7920.603$12.06−$3.78
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000? · No0.8700.595$11.90−$5.50
Will Bijan Robinson have 1,574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7900.585$11.70−$4.10
Will AZ reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16? · No0.7300.575$11.50−$3.10
Will any series go to five maps at VALORANT Champions 2026? · Yes0.6900.570$11.40−$2.40
Will Denzel Boston have 874.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6600.545$10.90−$2.30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? · No0.7800.540$10.80−$4.80
Will Uzbekistan win Group B at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? · No0.7000.530$10.60−$3.40
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October? · No0.5700.530$10.60−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 01:04Will the New York Islanders record 80+ points?SELL0.55$11.00
10-05 00:58Will Waymo launch in St. Louis, MO by December 31 2026?SELL0.14$2.80
10-05 00:52Will Liquipedia Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award?SELL0.581$11.62
10-05 00:45Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?SELL0.74$14.80
10-05 00:39Will Texas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.7$14.00
10-05 00:32Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027?SELL0.33$6.60
10-05 00:25Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team?SELL0.11$2.20
10-04 10:19Will Lille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?SELL0.65$13.00
10-04 10:12Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?SELL0.66$13.20
10-04 10:06Will Virginia Tech have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.62$12.40
10-04 10:01Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.54$10.80
10-04 09:54Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?SELL0.61$12.20
10-04 09:47Will Real Sociedad qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?SELL0.663$13.26
10-04 09:40Will Paris FC qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?SELL0.64$12.80
10-04 09:33Will the Washington Commanders win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?SELL0.42$8.40