D222222222
0x8998260fc9ed9fb76169c291493b77d3cfe62707
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $348.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,700
- Open portfolio
- $906.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,700
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.99at 0.290US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
- +$277.45at 0.110US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$178.85at 0.024Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$133.03at 0.180US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
- +$131.86at 0.210Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:04 | Will the New York Islanders record 80+ points? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 10-05 00:58 | Will Waymo launch in St. Louis, MO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 10-05 00:52 | Will Liquipedia Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.581 | $11.62 |
| 10-05 00:45 | Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 10-05 00:39 | Will Texas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-05 00:32 | Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 10-05 00:25 | Will Eddie Howe be the next head coach of the England national team? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-04 10:19 | Will Lille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 10-04 10:12 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 10-04 10:06 | Will Virginia Tech have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 10-04 10:01 | Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-04 09:54 | Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-04 09:47 | Will Real Sociedad qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | SELL | 0.663 | $13.26 |
| 10-04 09:40 | Will Paris FC qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-04 09:33 | Will the Washington Commanders win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |