0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295
0x00cdea4d807710807cdbc54ad34cfafcd992c0ae
- Realised P&L
- $-608.61
- Volume
- $229.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,131
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,131
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.12at 0.850Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$9.38at 0.652Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$9.14at 0.460Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
- +$8.89at 0.540Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
- +$8.54at 0.740Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:48 | Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.541 | $9.02 |
| 11-01 14:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 11-01 13:30 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.45 | $16.97 |
| 11-01 12:48 | Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 11-01 09:58 | Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.45 |
| 11-01 01:12 | Will Dog Alone win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.835 | $29.22 |
| 10-31 19:24 | Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.18 |
| 10-31 18:28 | Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.562 | $4.84 |
| 10-31 06:50 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 10-30 23:36 | Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $63.20 |
| 10-30 17:06 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.37 | $30.77 |
| 10-30 15:44 | Will Omarion Hampton have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.86 | $6.10 |
| 10-30 09:50 | Will "Nuisance Bear" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.63 | $61.87 |
| 10-30 08:46 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 10-29 20:28 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.603 | $27.13 |