PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295

0x00cdea4d807710807cdbc54ad34cfafcd992c0ae

Realised P&L
$-608.61
Volume
$229.2k
Markets traded
4,131
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,131
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? · No0.6270.635$139.50+$1.84
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? · No0.5900.595$119.00+$1.00
Will Mariana di Girolamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7870.720$108.00−$10.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.6050.510$102.00−$19.00
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? · No0.8100.760$98.80−$6.50
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? · No0.7500.685$96.32−$9.14
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7280.730$85.53+$0.23
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8500.775$77.50−$7.50
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.785$77.23+$0.49
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7300.670$67.00−$6.00
Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7700.665$66.50−$10.50
Will Brock Nelson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? · No0.8500.825$66.00−$2.00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? · No0.6500.645$64.50−$0.50
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.6110.595$59.50−$1.63
Will "Nuisance Bear" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7000.690$58.00−$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:48Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?SELL0.541$9.02
11-01 14:20Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.55$55.00
11-01 13:30Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?SELL0.45$16.97
11-01 12:48Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?SELL0.79$15.80
11-01 09:58Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.53$5.45
11-01 01:12Will Dog Alone win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.835$29.22
10-31 19:24Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.64$6.18
10-31 18:28Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?SELL0.562$4.84
10-31 06:50Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.35$35.00
10-30 23:36Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?SELL0.79$63.20
10-30 17:061win FDV above $45M one day after launch?SELL0.37$30.77
10-30 15:44Will Omarion Hampton have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.86$6.10
10-30 09:50Will "Nuisance Bear" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.63$61.87
10-30 08:46US imports Russian diesel by December 31?SELL0.43$4.30
10-29 20:28Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.603$27.13