PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295

0x00cdea4d807710807cdbc54ad34cfafcd992c0ae

Realised P&L
$-249.09
Volume
$96.0k
Markets traded
3,511
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,511
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.855$42.75$0.25
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · No0.8200.815$39.88$0.24
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7500.745$37.25$0.25
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.875$35.01+$0.60
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · No0.3650.335$33.50$3.00
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.8100.805$32.20$0.20
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.770$30.80$0.40
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.615$30.75$0.75
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? · No0.8000.765$30.60$1.40
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8400.775$27.90$2.34
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.6500.555$27.75$4.75
Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.7600.690$27.60$2.80
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No0.6500.665$26.60+$0.60
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.875$26.25+$0.15
Will Michigan State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.6500.650$26.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:56Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.76$4.71
09-16 23:34Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?SELL0.72$7.20
09-16 12:38Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?SELL0.66$3.30
09-16 00:54Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Eagles during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.77$7.70
09-15 23:48Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?SELL0.34$2.92
09-15 20:22Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$30.40
09-15 14:18Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.3$9.43
09-15 05:32Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.59$23.60
09-15 04:44Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$2.30
09-15 04:30Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$2.30
09-15 02:18Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.741$3.71
09-14 21:18Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.86$22.79
09-14 15:30Will Lens reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?SELL0.63$15.75
09-14 05:32Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?SELL0.52$3.78
09-13 16:08Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.66$6.16