0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295
0x00cdea4d807710807cdbc54ad34cfafcd992c0ae
- Realised P&L
- $-249.09
- Volume
- $96.0k
- Markets traded
- 3,511
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,511
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.22at 0.120Megaquake by July 31?
- +$3.65at 0.220Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
- +$3.46at 0.350Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
- +$3.42at 0.341Will Yvette Cooper be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
- +$3.30at 0.380Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:56 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.71 |
| 09-16 23:34 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-16 12:38 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 09-16 00:54 | Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Eagles during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 09-15 23:48 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.92 |
| 09-15 20:22 | Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $30.40 |
| 09-15 14:18 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.3 | $9.43 |
| 09-15 05:32 | Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 09-15 04:44 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-15 04:30 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-15 02:18 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.741 | $3.71 |
| 09-14 21:18 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $22.79 |
| 09-14 15:30 | Will Lens reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | SELL | 0.63 | $15.75 |
| 09-14 05:32 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $3.78 |
| 09-13 16:08 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.16 |