Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.084. down 0.166 over the period, from 0.250. Range 0.030 to 0.310. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.085	172	172
0.087	200	372
0.097	10	382
0.109	161	543
0.110	170	713
0.171	8	721
0.172	10	731
0.179	320	1,051
0.180	158	1,209
0.635	48	1,256
0.636	5	1,261
0.638	113	1,374

Spread0.002Mid0.084

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.083	192	192
0.077	79	271
0.061	27	298
0.060	221	518
0.059	375	893
0.052	150	1,043
0.047	200	1,243
0.028	13	1,257
0.027	61	1,317
0.014	13	1,330
0.013	239	1,570
0.010	8	1,578

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.917	192	192
0.923	79	271
0.939	27	298
0.940	221	518
0.941	375	893
0.948	150	1,043
0.953	200	1,243
0.972	13	1,257
0.973	61	1,317
0.986	13	1,330
0.987	239	1,570
0.990	8	1,578

Spread0.002Mid0.916

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.915	172	172
0.913	200	372
0.903	10	382
0.891	161	543
0.890	170	713
0.829	8	721
0.828	10	731
0.821	320	1,051
0.820	158	1,209
0.365	48	1,256
0.364	5	1,261
0.362	113	1,374

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x659db5d7C035771e1b1b3243e544207BAE71a037-1744115964414	Yes	1,418.99
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	47.54
PPMT	Yes	29.99
ViscaElBarca	Yes	20
LiquidityN00b	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	18.22
asdfdd123	Yes	10
asdfasdf111	Yes	10
molodoyy	No	778.14
Haradwaith	No	160.69
Stupendous-Innerstate	No	141.99
parameter1	No	93.41
pppnn	No	90.56
lightsout912	No	78.3
chessplayer	No	71
johnthek	No	52.71
nikonoemi	No	38
youtube-trader	No	26.37
claudemole	No	15.48
ChebupeliFlex	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:51:04	SELL	No	0.915	78	$71.64
17:03:00	SELL	No	0.919821485	158	$145.56
16:41:01	SELL	Yes	0.0731096	50	$3.66
16:11:22	BUY	No	0.9249999988	22	$20.00
12:56:16	SELL	No	0.9171724138	58	$53.20
12:33:58	BUY	Yes	0.0795	20	$1.59
12:04:45	BUY	No	0.917	51	$46.77
12:03:46	BUY	No	0.91	196	$178.11
12:02:45	BUY	No	0.9090909091	11	$10.00
12:02:42	BUY	No	0.8916368918	83	$73.67
12:01:42	BUY	No	0.909246988	13	$12.07
12:01:37	BUY	No	0.8887483323	99	$87.93
11:58:21	BUY	No	0.907	10	$9.07
11:58:18	BUY	No	0.887	75	$66.24
11:57:31	BUY	No	0.908	5	$4.54
11:57:28	BUY	No	0.883	14	$12.48
11:57:16	BUY	No	0.883	13	$11.86
11:57:15	SELL	Yes	0.117	50	$5.85
11:57:13	BUY	No	0.8795	100	$87.95
11:49:06	BUY	No	0.882	50	$44.10
11:48:01	BUY	No	0.86	130	$111.65
11:47:16	SELL	No	0.821602	50	$41.08
11:47:16	BUY	No	0.8579999729	2	$1.52
11:47:13	BUY	No	0.8579999913	6	$4.95
11:47:13	SELL	No	0.82	100	$82.00