nikonoemi
0x977937b97ca27510af27a0fd6b05f557b565c429
- Realised P&L
- $-53.43
- Volume
- $102.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,010
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,010
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.17at 0.014Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$49.50at 0.010Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?
- +$44.85at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?
- +$41.60at 0.019Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
- +$31.48at 0.875Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $18B?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:11 | Will "The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.007732 | $0.08 |
| 08-02 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 07-31 13:45 | Will Nick Vivio be the MO-02 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 07-31 13:38 | Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.0655 | $1.31 |
| 07-31 10:00 | Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.062 | $1.24 |
| 07-30 17:32 | Will "The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.0695 | $1.39 |
| 07-30 12:38 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.12 |
| 07-30 05:45 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 07-30 04:45 | Will the Biggest Pot at the Final Table Be 100m+ Chips? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 19:05 | Will Connor Shellenberger win the 2026 PLL MVP award? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.66 |
| 07-29 17:47 | Will the Biggest Pot at the Final Table Be 100m+ Chips? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 07-29 17:06 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-29 13:41 | Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.26 |
| 07-29 13:40 | Will United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.18 |