nikonoemi
0x977937b97ca27510af27a0fd6b05f557b565c429
- Realised P&L
- $-64.13
- Volume
- $111.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,209
- Open portfolio
- $962.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,209
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.17at 0.014Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$44.65at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?
- +$41.60at 0.019Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
- +$31.31at 0.876Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $18B?
- +$29.74at 0.060Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:29 | Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 09-17 17:27 | Will Idaho have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-17 16:54 | Will Oklahoma City, OK face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 16:53 | Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 16:53 | Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on September 17? | SELL | 0.0013 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 08:58 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 17? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.32 |
| 09-17 08:44 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 17? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-17 03:22 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 03:21 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 16? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 01:19 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 16? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-15 17:14 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.62 |
| 09-15 16:54 | Will Ben Johns / Federico Staksrud advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 09-15 08:34 | Baidu announces a training pause by October 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-15 02:09 | Will Karen Khachanov Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | SELL | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 09-14 17:07 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.0125 | $0.25 |