nikonoemi
0x977937b97ca27510af27a0fd6b05f557b565c429
- Realised P&L
- $-9.89
- Volume
- $120.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,388
- Open portfolio
- $979.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,388
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.17at 0.014Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$44.65at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?
- +$41.60at 0.019Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
- +$39.33at 0.063Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?
- +$31.31at 0.876Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $18B?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 11:07 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 10-30 11:07 | Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.921 | $18.42 |
| 10-30 10:15 | Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.37 |
| 10-30 09:48 | Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.022285 | $0.45 |
| 10-30 07:54 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $16.56 |
| 10-29 09:58 | Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-27 09:35 | Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.831 | $8.31 |
| 10-26 13:19 | Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 10-26 11:47 | Will Xiaomi have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.12 |
| 10-26 08:08 | Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.31 |
| 10-24 13:30 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.20 |
| 10-24 06:28 | Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.809 | $8.09 |
| 10-23 08:18 | Will Manaka Matsukubo finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.93 | $13.55 |
| 10-23 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 23? | SELL | 0.8445398521 | $20.56 |
| 10-22 04:19 | Will Amber Glenn be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.36 |