LiquidityN00b
0xe4f3a477459868973d807f11e80846976c3cf969
- Realised P&L
- $-7.59
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $12.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $6.43 | −$0.43 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.094 | 0.088 | $5.93 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.63at 0.061Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?
- +$-1.60at 0.102Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?
- +$-3.38at 0.049Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 07:11 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | SELL | 0.0390449925 | $7.84 |
| 09-15 07:07 | Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.86 |
| 09-14 17:43 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.094 | $6.34 |
| 09-14 17:39 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | SELL | 0.048 | $3.86 |
| 09-14 17:39 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.084 | $6.30 |
| 09-14 17:39 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31? | SELL | 0.055 | $5.79 |
| 09-14 13:17 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.065 | $6.55 |
| 09-14 13:17 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.108 | $8.10 |
| 09-14 13:07 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? | SELL | 0.0844025225 | $6.29 |
| 09-14 12:49 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31? | BUY | 0.061 | $6.42 |
| 09-14 12:49 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? | BUY | 0.0975974775 | $7.27 |