PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

LiquidityN00b

0xe4f3a477459868973d807f11e80846976c3cf969

Realised P&L
$-7.59
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$12.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · Yes0.0800.075$6.43$0.43
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.0940.088$5.93$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 07:11Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?SELL0.0390449925$7.84
09-15 07:07Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.08$6.86
09-14 17:43Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.094$6.34
09-14 17:39Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?SELL0.048$3.86
09-14 17:39Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.084$6.30
09-14 17:39Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?SELL0.055$5.79
09-14 13:17Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.065$6.55
09-14 13:17Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.108$8.10
09-14 13:07Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?SELL0.0844025225$6.29
09-14 12:49Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?BUY0.061$6.42
09-14 12:49Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?BUY0.0975974775$7.27