0x659db5d7C035771e1b1b3243e544207BAE71a037-1744115964414
0x659db5d7c035771e1b1b3243e544207bae71a037
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $242.9k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $127.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.115UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$1.0kat 0.059Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
- +$517.61at 0.104Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
- +$275.54at 0.004Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
- +$191.19at 0.126Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 21:20 | UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 21:20 | UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 09-19 22:47 | Will Brunno Ferreira win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.68 |
| 09-19 22:35 | Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.09 | $90.90 |
| 09-19 22:34 | Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9803095313 | $31.16 |
| 09-19 22:07 | Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 21:58 | Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.11 | $99.00 |
| 09-19 21:58 | Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 16:36 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-19 16:36 | Will Joanderson Brito win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.1883039349 | $11.10 |
| 09-19 16:36 | Will Giga Chikadze win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 09:04 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0403629342 | $57.27 |
| 09-17 09:03 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $11.80 |
| 09-17 09:03 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $44.01 |
| 09-17 09:03 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.07775 | $15.55 |