PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-06-30
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.06. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.05 to 0.41. 104 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.066868
0.07905974
0.081071,081
0.091701,251
0.11761,327
0.12411,367
0.132101,577
0.38201,597
0.395002,097
0.41172,114
0.431002,214
0.53142,228

Spread0.01Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0599
0.04621630
0.035241,154
0.02141,169
0.011191,288

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9599
0.96621630
0.975241,154
0.98141,169
0.991191,288

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.946868
0.93905974
0.921071,081
0.911701,251
0.89761,327
0.88411,367
0.872101,577
0.62201,597
0.615002,097
0.59172,114
0.571002,214
0.47142,228

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AiBirdYes841.77
balthazarYes500
GuyFromTinderYes157.01
FihdrzgddYes100
OldacregYes100
pootytherewardfarmerYes94
AJSVYes73.53
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes70
wheathermanYes66.14
Numitus1994Yes42
0x3d05…acdeYes30.4
halfl2feYes30
PPMTYes30
cybermaxsYes25
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
AgecanonixYes20
smarterstratYes20
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes14.2
lissartterYes14.01
SlackjawYes14.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:49:38SELLYes0.0570$3.50
01:39:45BUYNo0.9560$56.69
01:35:08BUYNo0.9510$9.70
01:32:56BUYNo0.9511$9.98
01:32:48SELLYes0.0520$1.00
01:32:42BUYNo0.946$5.24
01:32:42BUYNo0.9414$13.55
01:32:42SELLYes0.065$0.28
01:32:41BUYNo0.93999999625$4.97
01:32:39BUYNo0.8920$17.80
01:32:39BUYNo0.939999999328$26.63
01:32:38BUYNo0.88205$180.40
01:32:38BUYNo0.92550$506.00
01:32:38BUYNo0.8914$12.83
01:32:38BUYNo0.940$36.00
01:32:38BUYNo0.88999999466$4.96
00:55:47SELLNo0.8720$17.40
13:44:33SELLYes0.1220$2.40
13:44:29SELLYes0.12500520$2.50
13:44:27BUYNo0.8710$8.69
13:44:27SELLYes0.1350$6.50
11:23:31SELLNo0.8520$17.00
05:56:47SELLYes0.1450$7.00
03:44:31BUYYes0.1410$1.40
03:22:22SELLYes0.178489011364$64.97