PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Oldacreg

0xec9d5d504f86dab3dbe98a8fcd2b1d8014e09c69

Realised P&L
$-9.23
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$5.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4100.055$5.50−$35.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 01:21Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3?SELL0.07$1.40
07-22 06:24Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?BUY0.963$423.72
07-22 04:29Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.944$427.63
07-10 08:07NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$61.60
07-10 07:16Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.044$39.38
06-30 08:07U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?SELL0.8806689583$422.72
06-30 07:32U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?BUY0.89$427.20
06-30 06:31Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?SELL0.9$422.99
06-30 05:31Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?BUY0.91$427.69
06-18 08:34Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.938$302.04
06-18 06:27Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?SELL0.954$348.21
06-18 03:47Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?BUY0.922$336.53