Oldacreg
0xec9d5d504f86dab3dbe98a8fcd2b1d8014e09c69
- Realised P&L
- $-9.23
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $5.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.055 | $5.50 | −$35.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.68at 0.922Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?
- +$3.52at 0.963Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
- +$0.91at 0.944Iran Nuke before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.044Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.070NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 01:21 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 52 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 07-22 06:24 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.963 | $423.72 |
| 07-22 04:29 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.944 | $427.63 |
| 07-10 08:07 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $61.60 |
| 07-10 07:16 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $39.38 |
| 06-30 08:07 | U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | SELL | 0.8806689583 | $422.72 |
| 06-30 07:32 | U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $427.20 |
| 06-30 06:31 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $422.99 |
| 06-30 05:31 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $427.69 |
| 06-18 08:34 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $302.04 |
| 06-18 06:27 | Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31? | SELL | 0.954 | $348.21 |
| 06-18 03:47 | Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.922 | $336.53 |