PolyBot

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-24
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.46 over the period, from 0.64. Range 0.17 to 0.81. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.184141
0.19100141
0.2354195
0.2669264
0.3080344
0.3112356
0.42103459
0.43100559
0.535564
0.5480644
0.5513657
0.7710667

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.175656
0.132076
0.1246122
0.1128150
0.1080230
0.0939269
0.0829297
0.07161459
0.06236695
0.0360755
0.02103857
0.013221,180

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.835656
0.872076
0.8846122
0.8928150
0.9080230
0.9139269
0.9229297
0.93161459
0.94236695
0.9760755
0.98103857
0.993221,180

Spread0.01Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.824141
0.81100141
0.7754195
0.7469264
0.7080344
0.6912356
0.58103459
0.57100559
0.475564
0.4680644
0.4513657
0.2310667

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
notssf3Yes2,400
qmmarYes1,191.28
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes215
0x6C674340B3AEe7F15CAEcE2E3c4b2D041824a67a-1787709892485Yes200
rocky42024Yes136
AJSVYes109.18
whoknows11Yes100
MajasYes100
kl1vYes68.08
2B9SYes57.1
86848B5D3A77CA68923AA7E789AYes50
aYoloYes50
0x02cbF5e1487c6aAb0Cb60Bef1aBda74794343b27-1781467187873Yes47.61
PPMTYes29.76
GuyFromTinderYes20
PredictionMMayrYes17.18
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes13.15
crossFiterYes10
ddadsfYes10
winexecutescaleYes8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:39:47BUYNo0.821,247$1022.37
06:11:36SELLYes0.1844$8.00
06:07:39SELLYes0.1838$6.85
06:04:56SELLYes0.1920$3.80
06:04:54SELLNo0.793$2.65
06:04:51SELLYes0.1900014428485$92.18
06:04:51BUYNo0.8240$32.80
06:04:51BUYNo0.8220$16.40
04:29:24BUYNo0.78999991022$1.32
04:29:23BUYNo0.7340$29.20
03:44:33BUYNo0.7241$29.52
02:25:41BUYYes0.334178074217$5.74
02:01:02BUYNo0.61,101$660.35
01:50:23BUYNo0.591869918731$18.20
01:48:20BUYNo0.569398057478$271.96
01:16:29BUYYes0.4530$13.50
23:54:23BUYNo0.58999984662$1.00
23:54:20BUYNo0.59938500$299.69
23:45:27BUYNo0.599999882$1.00
23:45:24BUYNo0.59676500$298.38
22:49:59SELLYes0.560$0.06
22:49:59BUYYes0.5621$11.70
21:22:33SELLNo0.3836$13.68
21:22:26SELLNo0.3930$11.70
21:15:51SELLYes0.336$10.83