0x6C674340B3AEe7F15CAEcE2E3c4b2D041824a67a-1787709892485
0x6c674340b3aee7f15caece2e3c4b2d041824a67a
- Realised P&L
- $935.87
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $619.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? · No | 0.902 | 0.960 | $416.28 | +$25.00 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.851 | 0.730 | $109.87 | −$18.27 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026? · No | 0.919 | 0.932 | $93.25 | +$1.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$633.28at 0.713Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?
- +$157.03at 0.655Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026?
- +$50.08at 0.882Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?
- +$33.01at 0.843Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026?
- +$25.74at 0.520Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:40 | Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.888861336 | $70.26 |
| 09-17 03:51 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.919 | $91.90 |
| 09-17 03:50 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9023562023 | $391.29 |
| 09-17 03:29 | Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $57.89 |
| 09-02 00:59 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7750665879 | $379.41 |
| 09-02 00:59 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $383.76 |
| 09-02 00:58 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999996 | $191.86 |
| 09-02 00:57 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.974183819 | $125.71 |
| 09-01 19:16 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $12.34 |
| 09-01 19:15 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $154.00 |
| 09-01 18:48 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.6544444444 | $58.90 |
| 09-01 18:47 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $79.50 |
| 09-01 18:47 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.892 | $44.60 |
| 09-01 18:27 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $105.29 |
| 09-01 18:26 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.892 | $107.04 |