PolyBot

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Traders

PredictionMMayr

0x8f9d9df0fd89deb40cc8af0047001a3d33b15e06

Realised P&L
$56.90
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3400.655$73.42+$35.31
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7260.705$47.74−$1.42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8000.835$41.75+$1.75
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2670.993$32.95+$24.09
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · Yes0.1900.630$31.86+$22.25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9200.935$30.49+$0.49
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · No0.1900.575$29.08+$19.47
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6340.585$27.06−$2.27
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? · Yes0.8300.950$22.89+$2.89
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4500.515$22.01+$2.78
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1900.195$19.74+$0.51
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.905$19.25−$0.32
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes0.5000.495$19.22−$0.19
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.7900.775$18.86−$0.37
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.7250.695$18.69−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:48Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.26$2.60
10-01 05:31Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?SELL0.28$2.80
10-01 04:42Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.1399999972$5.90
10-01 04:40Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?SELL0.101$0.90
10-01 04:39Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.7299999901$9.61
10-01 04:35Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?BUY0.14$9.52
10-01 04:33Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?SELL0.101$2.17
10-01 03:52Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.2829999951$2.61
10-01 03:45Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?SELL0.101$1.24
10-01 03:28Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?SELL0.114$1.49
10-01 02:25Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.3341780742$5.74
10-01 02:19Will Cook Islands win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.3599999731$2.68
10-01 01:56Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?SELL0.125$1.76
10-01 01:52Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?BUY0.9$9.61
09-30 22:41Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.4499999887$5.97