PredictionMMayr
0x8f9d9df0fd89deb40cc8af0047001a3d33b15e06
- Realised P&L
- $56.90
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.74at 0.104Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
- +$19.01at 0.341Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?
- +$13.42at 0.422Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
- +$12.05at 0.321Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$8.22at 0.542Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:48 | Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 10-01 05:31 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-01 04:42 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999972 | $5.90 |
| 10-01 04:40 | Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.90 |
| 10-01 04:39 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999901 | $9.61 |
| 10-01 04:35 | Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $9.52 |
| 10-01 04:33 | Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.101 | $2.17 |
| 10-01 03:52 | Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.2829999951 | $2.61 |
| 10-01 03:45 | Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.101 | $1.24 |
| 10-01 03:28 | Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.114 | $1.49 |
| 10-01 02:25 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.3341780742 | $5.74 |
| 10-01 02:19 | Will Cook Islands win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.3599999731 | $2.68 |
| 10-01 01:56 | Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.125 | $1.76 |
| 10-01 01:52 | Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.61 |
| 09-30 22:41 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999887 | $5.97 |