0x02cbF5e1487c6aAb0Cb60Bef1aBda74794343b27-1781467187873
0x02cbf5e1487c6aab0cb60bef1abda74794343b27
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $235.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.74at 0.013Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
- +$99.96at 0.902Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$46.49at 0.289Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$46.11at 0.256Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$37.77at 0.887Solana Up or Down - September 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:43 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.51 | $70.89 |
| 10-01 05:12 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.55 | $88.00 |
| 10-01 05:11 | Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | SELL | 0.27 | $8.38 |
| 10-01 02:19 | Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.58 | $9.66 |
| 10-01 02:16 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.5954545455 | $52.40 |
| 10-01 01:11 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7631469388 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 01:01 | OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.85 |
| 10-01 01:00 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | SELL | 0.066 | $2.82 |
| 10-01 01:00 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 10-01 00:59 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | SELL | 0.7 | $119.00 |
| 10-01 00:57 | Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | SELL | 0.8213849682 | $46.56 |
| 09-30 23:51 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 23:46 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 23:41 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 23:41 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6135454892 | $5.00 |