PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

whoknows11

0x00fc9ea8b9fd1444875ceae0878b7ca0045078f5

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$7.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$303.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-29.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5810.594$118.70+$2.53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.1900.265$53.00+$15.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · Yes0.3200.480$48.00+$16.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.865$43.25+$0.75
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.235$23.50−$42.50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? · Yes0.4900.175$17.50−$31.50
Kamala Harris blowout victory? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00
Trump wins every swing state? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during Macon, GA rally? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Trump say "tampon" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4460.000$0.00−$1.9k
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Trump say "Epstein" during Macon, GA rally? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Macon, GA rally? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 01:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.32$32.00
09-28 01:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$42.50
09-28 01:44Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.66$66.00
09-28 01:44Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.49$49.00
09-28 01:37Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.19$38.00
09-28 01:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.58085$116.17
11-04 00:08Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?BUY0.3564356328$20.00
11-03 23:58North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?BUY0.7599999951$31.00
11-03 23:52Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?BUY0.209999999$150.00
11-03 23:50Kamala Harris blowout victory?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
11-03 23:47Trump wins every swing state?BUY0.7899999795$30.00
11-03 23:41Will Trump say "tampon" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?BUY0.0479999955$10.00
11-03 23:36Will Trump say "Epstein" during Macon, GA rally?BUY0.0789999857$5.00
11-03 23:35Will Trump say "Voter ID" during Macon, GA rally?BUY0.64$50.00
11-03 23:34Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Macon, GA rally?BUY0.0229999978$10.00