PolyBot

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-18
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.21. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.09 to 0.32. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.221,1701,170
0.232001,370
0.24501,420
0.27431,463
0.28301,493
0.291721,665
0.301251,790
0.31751,865
0.491001,965
0.50752,040
0.514922,531
0.527003,231

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.21862862
0.202001,062
0.19501,112
0.15201,132
0.14501,182
0.13201,202
0.121391,341
0.113201,661
0.10641,725
0.09301,755
0.081351,890
0.074202,310

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.79862862
0.802001,062
0.81501,112
0.85201,132
0.86501,182
0.87201,202
0.881391,341
0.893201,661
0.90641,725
0.91301,755
0.921351,890
0.934202,310

Spread0.01Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.781,1701,170
0.772001,370
0.76501,420
0.73431,463
0.72301,493
0.711721,665
0.701251,790
0.69751,865
0.511001,965
0.50752,040
0.494922,531
0.487003,231

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes3,815.79
molodoyyYes420.02
jackyloveYes170
wert4Yes80.82
GuyFromTinderYes45.54
0xd0d9…30f2Yes45
FihdrzgddYes24.8
a5533Yes20
0xa2b6…4451Yes15.73
ViscaElBarcaYes13.95
tryrktryYes10
aHjCzYes1.37
0xca75…0a64Yes1
0xa5ef…2966No4,084.31
K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoENo400
Jamsbond007No64.1
HaradwaithNo63.02
AJSVNo21.61
tradetosurvive1No16.1
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo13.55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:13:45BUYYes0.219999992614$2.98
07:37:37BUYNo0.78999999849$38.88
07:37:15BUYYes0.2250$11.00
00:36:04BUYNo0.779999997864$50.00
18:58:48BUYYes0.22999998929$2.13
23:20:04BUYYes0.209999988216$3.38
23:20:04SELLNo0.7916$12.71
20:05:48SELLYes0.1945$8.51
14:28:57SELLYes0.160$0.03
12:12:09BUYYes0.255$1.30
12:12:09BUYYes0.1720$3.40
12:12:09BUYYes0.1820$3.60
12:12:07SELLNo0.8365$53.95
11:04:51SELLNo0.8316$13.35
10:27:10SELLNo0.8265$53.30
10:27:06SELLNo0.8280$65.60
10:02:42SELLYes0.1165$7.15
10:02:39SELLYes0.1291$10.92
09:44:36BUYYes0.0989286224420$41.55
09:44:36BUYYes0.109999998565$7.16
09:44:34BUYYes0.1179$8.69
01:27:39BUYYes0.11$0.14
11:13:04BUYYes0.115$0.55
10:06:21SELLYes0.0850$4.00
16:55:00BUYYes0.109999997734$3.77