Jamsbond007
0x50b79bd1699b7d73b8c2a30c03d6302885e00df1
- Realised P&L
- $215.07
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $417.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? · No | 0.686 | 0.915 | $60.00 | +$15.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · No | 0.780 | 0.835 | $53.53 | +$3.53 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · No | 0.680 | 0.685 | $50.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.785 | $50.32 | +$0.32 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.755 | $49.03 | −$0.97 |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.765 | $47.22 | −$2.78 |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.410 | $45.56 | −$4.44 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.885 | $37.93 | +$7.93 |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.415 | $23.06 | +$3.06 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.30at 0.548Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
- +$124.20at 0.243Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$93.48at 0.310Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$28.97at 0.580Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?
- +$25.38at 0.703U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 00:40 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.6862745062 | $45.00 |
| 09-15 00:36 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 00:30 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 00:30 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-02 20:27 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999837 | $30.00 |
| 09-02 20:24 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 09-02 20:23 | Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 20:23 | Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.4499999983 | $40.00 |
| 09-02 20:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-02 20:21 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.7762402496 | $49.76 |
| 09-02 20:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 19:02 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.74 | $63.88 |
| 05-29 00:34 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | BUY | 0.57912899 | $50.00 |
| 05-29 00:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 00:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |