0xa2b6c5e6a1d7000efa2aeaf7b4f375b02bf84451
- Realised P&L
- $-390.86
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $41.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 10:26 | Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-11 07:53 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 09-11 06:53 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-11 00:16 | Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-10 17:02 | Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 16:28 | Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-10 14:48 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 55%-60%? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-10 12:22 | Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 15? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-10 09:18 | Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-10 08:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 09-10 07:57 | Will Mounu Uaisele win the Tongatapu 2 by-election? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-09 23:24 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-09 20:22 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 17:54 | Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 09-09 14:50 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 20%-30%? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |