0xa2b6c5e6a1d7000efa2aeaf7b4f375b02bf84451
0xa2b6c5e6a1d7000efa2aeaf7b4f375b02bf84451
- Realised P&L
- $-501.24
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $26.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.54at 0.100Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?
- +$3.64at 0.470Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.35at 0.110Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?
- +$2.00at 0.140Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.10at 0.460Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:48 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 11-01 21:47 | Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.14 |
| 11-01 19:49 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.11 |
| 11-01 14:49 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.288 | $14.40 |
| 11-01 14:39 | Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 11-01 13:13 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.86 |
| 11-01 13:13 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.92 |
| 11-01 12:56 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 11-01 12:35 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 550,000 and 600,000? | SELL | 0.092 | $1.84 |
| 11-01 11:43 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 11-01 10:03 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.21 |
| 11-01 09:09 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 11-01 04:18 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 11-01 00:34 | Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 10-31 23:38 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.50 |