PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa2b6c5e6a1d7000efa2aeaf7b4f375b02bf84451

Realised P&L
$-390.86
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$41.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election? · Yes0.4100.375$13.15$1.23
Will Bill Tierney win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year? · Yes0.4000.090$12.60$43.40
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.4000.225$4.50$3.50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? · Yes0.1400.215$3.38+$1.18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 60%-65%? · Yes0.3800.150$3.00$4.60
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 40% or more? · Yes0.3500.105$2.10$4.90
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by July 31? · No0.3301.000$1.43+$0.96
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.3500.065$1.30$5.70
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.1700.150$0.24$0.03
Will Leoš Janda be the next Mayor of Pardubice? · Yes0.1730.009$0.17$3.29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 0%-45%? · Yes0.3300.004$0.07$6.53
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of July 6 2026? · No0.5400.000$0.00$29.22
Will Trump say "Cancer" this week? · No0.3700.000$0.00$7.30
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B? · No0.9470.000$0.00$39.77
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? · No0.1800.000$0.00$4.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 10:26Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.03$0.60
09-11 07:53Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?SELL0.15$6.00
09-11 06:53Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?SELL0.16$1.60
09-11 00:16Will the Republican Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.09$1.80
09-10 17:02Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?SELL0.5$10.00
09-10 16:28Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.21$4.20
09-10 14:48Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 55%-60%?SELL0.3$6.00
09-10 12:22Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 15?SELL0.13$2.60
09-10 09:18Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?SELL0.13$2.60
09-10 08:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?SELL0.25$1.50
09-10 07:57Will Mounu Uaisele win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?SELL0.09$1.80
09-09 23:24Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?SELL0.32$1.60
09-09 20:22Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.1$2.00
09-09 17:54Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?SELL0.011$0.22
09-09 14:50Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 20%-30%?SELL0.3$6.00