PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE

0xa68b7c78dbedd4185d498685671639db0e7bc4b4

Realised P&L
$105.26
Volume
$88.9k
Markets traded
177
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded177
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.4490.895$1.6k+$800.15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? · No0.6990.765$693.93+$60.10
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5870.310$131.10$117.30
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4720.485$86.81+$2.31
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5890.330$81.44$63.88
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? · No0.5460.525$39.38$1.56
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.4900.538$30.98+$2.76
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? · Yes0.4040.365$17.66$1.88
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.315$17.55$1.95
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? · Yes0.4100.325$15.50$4.05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.075$11.16$8.18
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes0.6500.420$8.48$4.64
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1060.035$8.41$17.51
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? · No0.2400.095$7.69$11.73
Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat? · Yes0.1100.030$5.27$14.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 05:02Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.45$80.55
09-24 03:44Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.18$3.27
09-24 02:57Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.857$85.70
09-24 02:43Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.0343143479$29.19
09-23 15:14Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0823218575$10.28
09-23 13:12Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.125975$50.39
09-23 12:38Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.09$54.00
09-23 10:58Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.09$27.00
09-23 10:58Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.09$18.00
09-23 10:56Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0796797438$9.95
09-23 08:17Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.4275111996$51.53
09-23 08:06Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.4383333333$526.00
09-23 04:00Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
09-23 03:38Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.51$10.20
09-23 03:20Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.49$9.80