K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE
0xa68b7c78dbedd4185d498685671639db0e7bc4b4
- Realised P&L
- $105.26
- Volume
- $88.9k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$912.23at 0.422Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
- +$416.24at 0.069Next Kimi K model released by September 15, 2026?
- +$258.23at 0.416Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 20?
- +$224.31at 0.052Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
- +$150.64at 0.487Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:02 | Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $80.55 |
| 09-24 03:44 | Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.27 |
| 09-24 02:57 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.857 | $85.70 |
| 09-24 02:43 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0343143479 | $29.19 |
| 09-23 15:14 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0823218575 | $10.28 |
| 09-23 13:12 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.125975 | $50.39 |
| 09-23 12:38 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $54.00 |
| 09-23 10:58 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $27.00 |
| 09-23 10:58 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 09-23 10:56 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0796797438 | $9.95 |
| 09-23 08:17 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4275111996 | $51.53 |
| 09-23 08:06 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4383333333 | $526.00 |
| 09-23 04:00 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 03:38 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-23 03:20 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |