Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Resolves by: https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.12 to 0.26. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	396	396
0.14	465	861
0.15	170	1,031
0.16	189	1,220
0.17	801	2,021
0.18	83	2,104
0.19	335	2,438
0.26	11	2,449
0.27	10	2,459
0.28	143	2,602
0.31	6	2,607
0.32	6	2,614

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	488	488
0.11	718	1,206
0.10	331	1,537
0.09	263	1,800
0.08	315	2,115
0.07	217	2,332
0.06	966	3,298
0.05	80	3,378
0.04	88	3,466
0.02	216	3,682
0.01	113	3,795

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	488	488
0.89	718	1,206
0.90	331	1,537
0.91	263	1,800
0.92	315	2,115
0.93	217	2,332
0.94	966	3,298
0.95	80	3,378
0.96	88	3,466
0.98	216	3,682
0.99	113	3,795

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	396	396
0.86	465	861
0.85	170	1,031
0.84	189	1,220
0.83	801	2,021
0.82	83	2,104
0.81	335	2,438
0.74	11	2,449
0.73	10	2,459
0.72	143	2,602
0.69	6	2,607
0.68	6	2,614

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Xeny	Yes	1,601.5
libratus1	Yes	1,020.32
bigfunky	Yes	294.74
shiifoo	Yes	204.43
a.weidel	Yes	184.77
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	150
cat6767	Yes	142.8
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	124.89
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	115.37
Mithrandir.	Yes	100
Dr.PNL	Yes	47.76
markemt	Yes	43.92
asd56	Yes	32.82
PPMT	Yes	30.09
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	29
yueyueyn	Yes	23.01
GuyFromTinder	Yes	20
HerrieDavis	Yes	10.62
xiaoxi1	Yes	10
sm-02	Yes	8.33

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:50:40	BUY	Yes	0.13	10	$1.30
04:41:28	BUY	Yes	0.16	20	$3.20
04:41:28	SELL	No	0.86	20	$17.20
04:36:27	BUY	No	0.8599999867	6	$5.17
04:36:27	BUY	No	0.84	9	$7.74
04:36:27	BUY	No	0.86	9	$7.92
04:36:27	BUY	No	0.85	9	$7.83
04:36:27	BUY	No	0.8399999957	9	$7.74
04:36:25	BUY	No	0.84	30	$25.20
02:05:52	SELL	Yes	0.1683705357	36	$6.03
09:21:09	BUY	No	0.8199999894	13	$10.81
09:21:09	BUY	No	0.8199998854	7	$5.58
09:21:07	BUY	No	0.8199999976	17	$13.79
02:41:42	BUY	Yes	0.1899999962	5	$1.00
15:59:18	SELL	No	0.8	1	$0.54
15:36:18	BUY	No	0.8	17	$13.67
15:36:18	BUY	No	0.8	1	$0.73
15:35:54	BUY	No	0.8	95	$75.95
12:34:21	BUY	Yes	0.17	0	$0.04
12:34:21	BUY	Yes	0.17	10	$1.70
12:33:34	BUY	Yes	0.18	40	$7.20
12:31:33	BUY	No	0.8499999951	10	$8.70
12:31:33	BUY	No	0.85	10	$8.50
12:31:33	BUY	No	0.84	10	$8.40
12:31:33	BUY	No	0.835	20	$16.70