PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Xeny

0x7b75e76b13a8d792bd4ce25d76a50be61ced3fd1

Realised P&L
$106.0k
Volume
$10.45M
Markets traded
1,945
Open portfolio
$42.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,945
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.813$32.5k+$12.5k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.188$7.5k$12.5k
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7370.915$1.2k+$228.35
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · No0.7980.970$444.02+$78.72
Eric Adams charged by December 31? · No0.6400.755$370.70+$56.46
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? · Yes0.4650.490$362.72+$18.78
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes0.2290.455$329.86+$163.52
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? · No0.9000.925$13.21+$0.36
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.06
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$124.23
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$106.47
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.2630.000$0.00$432.79
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner · Team Secret Whales0.1220.000$0.00$693.71
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$7.28
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) · G2 Esports0.1000.000$0.00$1.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 10:08Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?SELL0.36$1.1k
07-11 04:49Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$2.00
07-10 11:06Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?SELL0.035$258.17
07-10 10:54Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?SELL0.04$1.64
07-10 10:40Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?BUY0.999$10.0k
07-10 10:39Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?SELL0.001$4.61
07-10 10:38Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?BUY0.0313624744$49.69
07-10 10:37Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?SELL0.001$5.93
07-09 08:58Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)BUY0.6149368088$124.56
07-09 01:23Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?BUY0.05$4.50
07-09 00:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?BUY0.0208281678$6.31
07-08 23:52Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?BUY0.3284996305$35.56
07-08 09:27Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?BUY0.0475933306$7.02
07-08 08:31LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.1$100.00
07-08 08:02Will T1 win MSI 2026?BUY0.04$43.54