yueyueyn
0xb87fb360cb36b252a237b11b18d9a4127ee3f7d4
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $884.6k
- Markets traded
- 5,355
- Open portfolio
- $735.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,355
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.007Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.002Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.005Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.001Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.003Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.97 |
| 11-01 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.18 |
| 11-01 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.39 |
| 11-01 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.68 |
| 11-01 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.08 |
| 11-01 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.48 |
| 11-01 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.996 | $3.50 |
| 11-01 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.43 |
| 11-01 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.56 |
| 11-01 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.63 |
| 11-01 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.35 |
| 11-01 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.65 |
| 11-01 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $0.60 |
| 11-01 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |