PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bigfunky

0x1d5e0de9cef9c2df5b24ae3ca7828a749cbe64dd

Realised P&L
$866.38
Volume
$1.28M
Markets traded
512
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded512
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? · Yes0.8141.000$1.1k+$205.00
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8631.000$887.58+$121.86
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · Yes0.8621.000$546.59+$75.59
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? · No0.9400.983$491.25+$21.25
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8431.000$300.00+$47.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? · Yes0.8601.000$300.00+$42.00
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? · No0.8901.000$200.00+$22.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.958$191.50+$25.50
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.920$184.00+$54.00
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · No0.8600.976$101.87+$12.11
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? · Yes0.9001.000$100.00+$10.00
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? · No0.4271.000$63.08+$36.12
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? · Yes0.9301.000$58.20+$4.07
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5720.630$54.36+$5.01
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · No0.8900.980$51.20+$4.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 17:00Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.85$85.00
09-02 16:58Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?BUY0.88$41.03
09-02 16:58Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.89$41.83
09-02 16:58Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.85$85.00
09-02 16:56Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.84$168.00
05-09 15:30Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?SELL0.893$10.84
04-29 22:58Canadiens vs. LightningSELL0.41$410.00
04-29 20:09Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.999$49.95
04-29 20:08Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9971844338$135.17
04-29 20:07Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.999$31.89
04-29 20:06Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.998$49.90
04-29 20:06Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.998$99.80
04-06 15:17Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?BUY0.819$14.74
03-11 05:15Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.4$25.46
03-09 21:47Will Trump say "Israel" 3+ times during Monday press conference?SELL0.83$49.80