PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bigfunky

0x1d5e0de9cef9c2df5b24ae3ca7828a749cbe64dd

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$1.27M
Markets traded
504
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded504
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8630.885$785.51+$19.79
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? · No0.9400.978$488.75+$18.75
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? · No0.8901.000$200.00+$22.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.935$187.00+$21.00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.835$167.00+$37.00
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · No0.8600.991$103.44+$13.67
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.8000.440$88.00$72.00
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? · No0.4271.000$63.08+$36.12
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · No0.4700.500$50.00+$3.00
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · No0.8900.875$45.74$0.78
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5720.525$45.30$4.05
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? · No0.8770.895$32.79+$0.67
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.5550.825$22.67+$7.42
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No0.8000.845$10.77+$0.57
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3590.155$5.80$7.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-09 15:30Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?SELL0.893$10.84
04-29 22:58Canadiens vs. LightningSELL0.41$410.00
04-29 20:09Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.999$49.95
04-29 20:08Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9971844338$135.17
04-29 20:07Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.999$31.89
04-29 20:06Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.998$49.90
04-29 20:06Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.998$99.80
04-06 15:17Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?BUY0.819$14.74
03-11 05:15Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.4$25.46
03-09 21:47Will Trump say "Israel" 3+ times during Monday press conference?SELL0.83$49.80
03-09 13:44Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?SELL0.22$29.81
03-05 18:04GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY0.97$97.00
03-05 18:00GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY0.96$62.35
03-05 05:35GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY0.85$17.00
03-05 05:31Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.4$32.00