markemt
0x788e42bf0d25a94cadf47e70fb6df1abf2f0e086
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $228.4k
- Markets traded
- 4,436
- Open portfolio
- $8.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,436
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? · Yes | 0.467 | 0.125 | $5.49 | −$15.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.115 | $2.60 | −$4.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$581.44at 0.480Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1
- +$154.44at 0.630Bucks vs. Nets
- +$145.35at 0.646Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Selena Janicijevic
- +$130.43at 0.349Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini
- +$121.79at 0.283Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 20:05 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $25.00 |
| 08-28 04:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.99 |
| 08-28 00:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $1.18 |
| 08-28 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $1.79 |
| 08-27 23:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5965951743 | $4.45 |
| 08-27 21:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.51 |
| 08-27 21:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $3.59 |
| 08-27 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $1.83 |
| 08-27 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2785055351 | $1.51 |
| 08-27 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $1.90 |
| 08-27 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $1.12 |
| 08-27 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $4.72 |
| 08-27 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $1.64 |
| 08-27 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.33 |