PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.39. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.21 to 0.49. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.41131131
0.42144275
0.4457332
0.6650382
0.6721404
0.7320424
0.8330454
0.9041495
0.938503
0.9418521
0.9530551
0.9640591

Spread0.04Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.37254254
0.36225479
0.2532511
0.2429540
0.2250590
0.2120610
0.17100710
0.087717
0.0620737
0.0316752
0.0217769
0.0115785

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.63254254
0.64225479
0.7532511
0.7629540
0.7850590
0.7920610
0.83100710
0.927717
0.9420737
0.9716752
0.9817769
0.9915785

Spread0.04Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.59131131
0.58144275
0.5657332
0.3450382
0.3321404
0.2720424
0.1730454
0.1041495
0.078503
0.0618521
0.0530551
0.0440591

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
viniiYes506.98
GuyFromTinderYes240.81
tradetosurvive1Yes161.27
folioquantYes57.39
AJSVYes54.52
chessplayerYes47.44
simulacrum3Yes40
youtube-traderYes36.03
IUSEBOTYes30
timasigmaYes23.26
SmartBoyBillyYes20.1
HerrieDavisYes15.99
0x607a…4aeaYes1
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876No500
Dr.PNLNo242.55
lamykNo200
KimchiCapitalNo82
FihdrzgddNo81.31
Bsau4No28.82
pootytherewardfarmerNo27.81

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:54:03BUYYes0.255$1.27
12:45:12BUYNo0.769999979512$9.00
12:45:12SELLNo0.7236372139385$278.54
06:56:04BUYNo0.78200$156.00
01:59:54SELLYes0.265$1.32
01:59:46BUYNo0.745$3.77
01:59:45SELLYes0.2611$2.81
01:59:36BUYNo0.739999987111$8.00
01:59:34BUYNo0.7440$29.60
08:21:45SELLYes0.3540$14.00
08:14:06SELLYes0.3540$14.00
08:12:40SELLYes0.3540$14.00
06:57:28BUYNo0.6440$25.60
06:55:28BUYNo0.63160$100.80
19:40:49SELLNo0.6340$25.20
05:53:25SELLNo0.6356$35.28
05:46:49SELLYes0.360$0.02
05:46:48SELLYes0.3674$26.81
05:21:48SELLYes0.420$0.01
05:21:48BUYNo0.585$2.85
05:21:46SELLYes0.3940$15.60
04:39:33SELLYes0.420$0.01
04:39:31SELLYes0.440$16.00
04:21:13SELLYes0.420$0.02
04:21:12SELLYes0.3956$21.84