timasigma
0xe28e2c461ea5d9405d2c7c3331602bcdc374990f
- Realised P&L
- $118.89
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $249.91
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.81at 0.298Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$43.29at 0.039Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$39.69at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.23at 0.311Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$14.59at 0.301Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:30 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999985 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 19:29 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 09-14 19:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7851638156 | $54.16 |
| 09-12 16:01 | Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.1116692679 | $9.02 |
| 09-08 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $6.64 |
| 09-08 19:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 19:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $10.30 |
| 09-08 19:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 19:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $11.13 |
| 09-08 19:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 19:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 19:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |