PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

IUSEBOT

0xf9aef6b71667b78d10de69d9c19e84ddc525aaa3

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$82.3k
Markets traded
1,256
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,256
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election? · Yes0.5440.455$43.40$8.51
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.7830.445$41.83$31.79
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No0.4300.385$38.50$4.50
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? · Yes0.7500.745$37.25$0.25
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? · No0.6470.578$28.88$3.48
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.9100.545$27.25$18.25
Will Jonathan Taylor have 849.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.9500.876$26.28$2.22
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? · Yes0.3700.260$26.00$11.00
Will Brock Bowers have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5000.430$25.80$4.20
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? · No0.6000.510$25.50$4.50
Will Harry Kane be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · No0.8750.833$24.98$1.27
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8010.605$24.18$7.86
Will Notre Dame make College Football Playoff Semifinals? · Yes0.5850.405$23.89$10.62
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · Yes0.3800.235$23.50$14.50
Will Nebraska have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.8300.775$23.24$1.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 14:22Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?SELL0.64$11.27
09-24 14:21Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.78$15.60
09-24 14:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?SELL0.6$12.00
09-24 12:09Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.314$6.28
09-24 11:49Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.27$0.85
09-24 09:02Will LSU make College Football Playoff Semifinals?SELL0.79$15.80
09-24 07:19Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%?SELL0.82$15.92
09-24 06:42Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?SELL0.3222933333$9.67
09-24 05:46Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.78$15.60
09-24 05:42Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.25$7.50
09-24 05:42Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.78$39.77
09-24 05:12Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.79$15.80
09-24 04:39Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.81$4.05
09-24 04:36Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.264$7.92
09-24 04:33Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.29$11.60