PolyBot

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Traders

lamyk

0xc004b035b67be284e0d1db56c39e865df6cac095

Realised P&L
$16.7k
Volume
$420.8k
Markets traded
448
Open portfolio
$18.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded448
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.790$3.6k+$1.3k
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.4850.987$1.5k+$738.87
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · No0.6550.870$1.2k+$306.24
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5910.855$1.1k+$338.59
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · Yes0.8940.896$1.0k+$2.38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.209$963.95−$1.3k
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6940.985$883.48+$260.70
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7090.977$874.93+$239.95
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · No0.5900.984$869.26+$348.06
Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.6900.945$858.84+$231.75
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yes0.8690.912$712.91+$34.05
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · No0.2770.440$555.09+$205.74
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4380.967$534.32+$292.09
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yes0.7640.945$500.86+$95.66
Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · No0.5100.910$384.27+$168.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 02:27Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?SELL0.1317999861$208.88
09-26 02:11Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?SELL0.2298165138$100.20
09-26 02:09Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.2915168594$60.00
09-26 02:08Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.1652915743$300.00
09-26 01:50Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.85$435.02
09-26 01:32Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4383836257$242.23
09-26 01:32Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6939937262$622.78
09-26 01:32Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7090572031$634.98
09-25 08:27Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.8895176822$692.96
09-25 08:08Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.8689154454$678.86
09-25 01:24Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.58$223.44
09-24 18:13Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?SELL0.5588202692$42.35
09-24 18:05Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?BUY0.92$69.72
09-24 14:18Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.7227478261$278.44
09-24 11:55Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?BUY0.49$9.80