lamyk
0xc004b035b67be284e0d1db56c39e865df6cac095
- Realised P&L
- $16.7k
- Volume
- $420.8k
- Markets traded
- 448
- Open portfolio
- $18.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded448
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.207Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$4.4kat 0.739Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
- +$2.2kat 0.308Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
- +$990.51at 0.549Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
- +$702.68at 0.596Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 02:27 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.1317999861 | $208.88 |
| 09-26 02:11 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.2298165138 | $100.20 |
| 09-26 02:09 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.2915168594 | $60.00 |
| 09-26 02:08 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.1652915743 | $300.00 |
| 09-26 01:50 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $435.02 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4383836257 | $242.23 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6939937262 | $622.78 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7090572031 | $634.98 |
| 09-25 08:27 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.8895176822 | $692.96 |
| 09-25 08:08 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.8689154454 | $678.86 |
| 09-25 01:24 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.58 | $223.44 |
| 09-24 18:13 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | SELL | 0.5588202692 | $42.35 |
| 09-24 18:05 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.92 | $69.72 |
| 09-24 14:18 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.7227478261 | $278.44 |
| 09-24 11:55 | Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |