Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 25, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-26

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.212 over the period, from 0.230. Range 0.003 to 0.250. 138 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.025	100	100
0.027	175	275
0.040	64	339
0.079	40	379
0.080	13	392
0.111	45	437
0.112	45	482
0.113	8	490
0.132	50	540
0.133	30	570
0.134	50	620
0.153	10	630

Spread0.013Mid0.019

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	40	40
0.011	29	69
0.009	100	169
0.006	167	336
0.004	218	554
0.003	2,088	2,642
0.002	500	3,142
0.001	4,822	7,964

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	40	40
0.989	29	69
0.991	100	169
0.994	167	336
0.996	218	554
0.997	2,088	2,642
0.998	500	3,142
0.999	4,822	7,964

Spread0.013Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.975	100	100
0.973	175	275
0.960	64	339
0.921	40	379
0.920	13	392
0.889	45	437
0.888	45	482
0.887	8	490
0.868	50	540
0.867	30	570
0.866	50	620
0.847	10	630

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	3,149.82
HippoMaro	Yes	2,751.79
2B9S	Yes	753.97
dedidanc	Yes	618.52
TheDao	Yes	585.7
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702	Yes	338.56
0x14Ec8218E788d5F7E8c90437C0bdeF1568B6C745-1776542696682	Yes	332.27
nnuull	Yes	296.59
Hyp3rion	Yes	261.69
e46m3	Yes	222.74
mjw0410	Yes	196
GingerMcKenna	Yes	193.44
mustbethewater	Yes	180
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	175.23
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438	Yes	170
speculativefire	Yes	170
AJSV	Yes	166.86
0xe1c649a37CaeEfc10Dbf3FcCA4b975d9eAC6461c-1781806301744	Yes	141
PiEDawg	Yes	120.18
Mr.Frog🐸	Yes	102.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:26:37	BUY	No	0.9854522688	118	$115.83
15:26:24	BUY	No	0.978	30	$29.34
15:26:24	BUY	No	0.9772541176	85	$83.07
15:26:24	BUY	No	0.978	40	$39.12
15:26:24	BUY	No	0.981	5	$4.91
15:26:24	BUY	No	0.981	10	$9.81
15:26:24	BUY	No	0.9800047281	169	$165.82
15:25:36	BUY	No	0.977	41	$39.86
14:23:37	BUY	No	0.983	20	$19.66
14:23:36	BUY	No	0.983	40	$39.32
12:57:34	BUY	No	0.989	3	$2.88
12:51:07	BUY	Yes	0.0337171284	297	$10.00
11:39:55	BUY	Yes	0.007	141	$0.99
10:53:43	BUY	No	0.997	20	$19.97
10:53:43	BUY	No	0.997	39	$39.18
10:53:42	SELL	Yes	0.003	143	$0.43
10:53:42	BUY	No	0.997	40	$39.88
10:52:06	BUY	No	0.997	20	$19.94
09:45:34	SELL	Yes	0.004126405	759	$3.13
09:43:34	SELL	Yes	0.005	21	$0.11
08:51:58	SELL	Yes	0.0072705531	27	$0.19
08:41:07	BUY	Yes	0.007	27	$0.19
08:06:09	SELL	Yes	0.0048882034	295	$1.44
08:06:09	SELL	Yes	0.005	2	$0.01
07:50:09	BUY	No	0.994	17	$16.69