mjw0410
0x8b45d9fe3311cd9f791cd09cb7bf032a1eba077e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $325.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,084
- Open portfolio
- $327.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,084
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$516.06at 0.681Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)
- +$443.08at 0.696Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
- +$387.29at 0.740Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
- +$287.28at 0.637Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
- +$267.97at 0.746Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:59 | Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2599999996 | $25.83 |
| 10-01 02:59 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.489999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-01 02:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $4.33 |
| 10-01 02:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 10-01 02:55 | Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0806883278 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 02:55 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.11667719 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 02:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $22.00 |
| 10-01 02:48 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 01:12 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.489999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-01 01:11 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 18:22 | Paris FC vs. Arsenal WFC: Arsenal WFC O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:58 | Belgium vs. France: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 18:08 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO5) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.7499999906 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 18:04 | Manchester City punishment announced by December 18? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |