nnuull
0xe42b946e97f74be52b7c7a1a3d8b1cfb7e8ac60b
- Realised P&L
- $10.37
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $50.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.325 | $34.81 | +$4.81 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.060 | $10.36 | −$9.64 |
| Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$9.85 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? · No | 0.249 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$23.53 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A · G2 | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.21at 0.430Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$19.48at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$10.77at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$5.69at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$5.51at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:58 | Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 13:23 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.2368181818 | $15.63 |
| 09-22 13:19 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2488804734 | $40.00 |
| 09-22 12:51 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0337171284 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:46 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1158798905 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 00:46 | Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.2801039268 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 00:42 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9502032881 | $79.18 |
| 09-10 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 18:20 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $35.00 |
| 09-08 17:30 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | SELL | 0.93 | $0.25 |
| 09-08 17:23 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | SELL | 0.63 | $12.77 |
| 09-08 17:20 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | BUY | 0.7299999718 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 17:17 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 17:16 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 09-08 17:14 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |