PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438

0xbeef3f30b4188470347542ecd64b5470418e620e

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$869.7k
Markets traded
3,969
Open portfolio
$8.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,969
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.4570.485$171.98+$10.04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7060.835$146.95+$22.72
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · No0.8910.875$139.83−$2.55
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.4980.510$137.97+$3.15
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · No0.8520.925$136.71+$10.82
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? · No0.9140.979$120.94+$7.90
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.9710.979$113.15+$0.96
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.6310.646$102.44+$2.46
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · No0.8970.910$99.07+$1.36
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8730.920$95.12+$4.86
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · No0.8340.855$94.75+$2.37
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.8360.823$94.56−$1.57
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes0.6030.740$87.69+$16.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.8990.935$76.56+$2.98
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · No0.9991.000$72.29+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 10:13Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.152$1.52
10-11 10:13Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.38$3.80
10-11 09:48Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.84$8.40
10-11 09:48Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.84$8.40
10-11 09:48Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.62$6.20
10-11 09:48Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.62$6.20
10-11 08:45Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.11$1.10
10-11 07:54Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?SELL0.93$9.30
10-11 07:41Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?SELL0.94$9.40
10-11 07:36Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?BUY0.997$9.97
10-11 07:36Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?BUY0.999$9.99
10-11 07:36Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?BUY0.999$9.99
10-11 07:36Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?BUY0.14$1.40
10-11 07:36Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?BUY0.991$9.91
10-11 07:36Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?BUY0.999$9.99