Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.57. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.67. Range 0.41 to 0.70. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	528	528
0.59	195	723
0.60	141	864
0.61	199	1,063
0.62	5	1,068
0.64	134	1,202
0.70	5	1,207
0.74	7	1,214
0.87	15	1,229
0.88	833	2,062
0.89	150	2,212
0.99	80	2,292

Spread0.01Mid0.57

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.57	362	362
0.56	227	589
0.55	84	673
0.54	97	770
0.53	49	819
0.52	100	919
0.48	20	939
0.47	5	944
0.32	30	974
0.03	23	997
0.02	45	1,042
0.01	10,020	11,062

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.43	362	362
0.44	227	589
0.45	84	673
0.46	97	770
0.47	49	819
0.48	100	919
0.52	20	939
0.53	5	944
0.68	30	974
0.97	23	997
0.98	45	1,042
0.99	10,020	11,062

Spread0.01Mid0.42

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	528	528
0.41	195	723
0.40	141	864
0.39	199	1,063
0.38	5	1,068
0.36	134	1,202
0.30	5	1,207
0.26	7	1,214
0.13	15	1,229
0.12	833	2,062
0.11	150	2,212
0.01	80	2,292

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
lamyk	Yes	2,098.97
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	166.76
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	100
frontiertrade	Yes	80.78
0x0e3d…52ab	Yes	50
Carabao	Yes	18.2
TIT8	Yes	10.39
0x1Bf561A7bcc510ed14484dFEbC54c477f5c9Ff5E-1782535194947	Yes	5
0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788	Yes	5
pad6	Yes	3.9
bigdihhh888	Yes	3.77
Majas	Yes	3.68
winexecutescale	Yes	2.5
iutwpfal	No	659.81
troim	No	599.99
Mr.Frog🐸	No	260
molodoyy	No	213.5
HerrieDavis	No	188.88
RandyHickey	No	99.99
GuyFromTinder	No	78.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:02:04	SELL	No	0.46	54	$24.84
20:01:42	SELL	No	0.46	6	$2.61
20:01:21	BUY	Yes	0.5399999881	37	$20.00
20:01:21	BUY	Yes	0.5399999976	93	$50.00
20:01:21	SELL	Yes	0.53	1	$0.50
20:01:21	SELL	No	0.46	50	$23.00
20:01:19	SELL	Yes	0.51	1	$0.48
20:01:19	BUY	Yes	0.54	9	$4.86
20:01:19	SELL	No	0.4737937123	725	$343.46
20:01:18	BUY	Yes	0.5373405165	160	$85.87
20:01:18	BUY	Yes	0.54	39	$20.94
20:01:18	BUY	Yes	0.5299999991	54	$28.50
20:01:18	BUY	Yes	0.529999992	51	$27.00
18:23:46	SELL	Yes	0.52	100	$52.00
07:13:36	SELL	No	0.47	0	$0.14
03:48:34	SELL	No	0.49	50	$24.50
03:47:06	BUY	No	0.46	198	$91.13
03:24:57	SELL	Yes	0.56	30	$16.80
03:20:43	SELL	Yes	0.55	34	$18.70
03:19:52	SELL	Yes	0.6	20	$12.00
03:19:49	BUY	No	0.405525227	660	$267.57
00:52:19	SELL	Yes	0.61	20	$12.20
15:48:07	BUY	Yes	0.64	20	$12.80
15:48:06	BUY	Yes	0.61	59	$35.91
14:44:39	SELL	Yes	0.58	22	$12.76