PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pad6

0xadb4ce3b18984d24873784bab9af8e76f1f1bc39

Realised P&L
$-242.98
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$74.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any player break the Champions single-tournament kill record at VALORANT Champions 2026? · No0.8300.775$15.50$1.10
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.6000.615$8.89+$0.22
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? · Yes0.4260.373$8.53$1.21
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · No0.8300.695$6.75$1.31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%? · Yes0.3840.324$6.47$1.21
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? · No0.3200.275$5.50$0.90
Republican House odds dip to 8% by October 31? · No0.1980.135$4.59$2.15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 60%-65%? · Yes0.2280.162$3.24$1.32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.2930.220$2.50$0.83
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 12%-15%? · Yes0.2110.173$2.42$0.53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.2300.117$2.35$2.25
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4700.115$2.30$7.10
Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · Yes0.1720.091$1.83$1.61
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026? · Yes0.4050.045$1.82$14.38
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 25 million views in week 1? · Yes0.1400.026$0.52$2.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:53Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.73$0.99
09-22 12:52Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
09-22 12:26Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?SELL0.991$0.99
09-22 12:25Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.9959990717$1.00