pad6
0xadb4ce3b18984d24873784bab9af8e76f1f1bc39
- Realised P&L
- $-242.98
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $74.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.44at 0.340US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.480Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.20at 0.320Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.650Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.820Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:53 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.99 |
| 09-22 12:52 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:26 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.99 |
| 09-22 12:25 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.9959990717 | $1.00 |