0x1Bf561A7bcc510ed14484dFEbC54c477f5c9Ff5E-1782535194947
0x1bf561a7bcc510ed14484dfebc54c477f5c9ff5e
- Realised P&L
- $140.41
- Volume
- $31.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,545
- Open portfolio
- $870.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,545
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.16at 0.732Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
- +$5.00at 0.800Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$4.06at 0.811Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
- +$3.96at 0.610Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?
- +$3.65at 0.478Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:35 | Will Mewgenics win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-30 22:59 | Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-29 14:03 | Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-14 12:59 | Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-09 06:43 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 09-08 19:51 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-07 02:03 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-06 17:03 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-05 12:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-04 20:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-03 21:28 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.60 |
| 09-03 19:51 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-03 10:43 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-02 22:11 | Will Fufuca win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-02 09:44 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | SELL | 0.964 | $4.82 |