Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-08
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.36. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.23 to 0.62. 49 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	157	157
0.40	40	197
0.42	150	347
0.80	59	406
0.81	263	669
0.82	100	769
0.92	8	777
0.93	60	837
0.96	151	988
0.97	675	1,662
0.98	50	1,712
0.99	132	1,844

Spread0.05Mid0.36

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	256	256
0.33	160	416
0.26	5	421
0.25	5	427
0.24	5	432
0.20	5	437
0.07	5	442
0.06	6	448
0.05	38	486
0.04	140	626
0.03	228	854
0.02	1,013	1,867

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	256	256
0.67	160	416
0.74	5	421
0.75	5	427
0.76	5	432
0.80	5	437
0.93	5	442
0.94	6	448
0.95	38	486
0.96	140	626
0.97	228	854
0.98	1,013	1,867

Spread0.05Mid0.64

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	157	157
0.60	40	197
0.58	150	347
0.20	59	406
0.19	263	669
0.18	100	769
0.08	8	777
0.07	60	837
0.04	151	988
0.03	675	1,662
0.02	50	1,712
0.01	132	1,844

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x600A5936b199750583b4Cb354c5341C794d4BD08-1772603229480	Yes	87.06
maxkisel	Yes	82
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	45.47
AJSV	Yes	8.54
bechamel	Yes	2.88
0x0064…cf5d	Yes	2.56
0x0f75…a4db	Yes	2.56
0x1a8e…4691	Yes	2.56
0x1dff…dd70	Yes	2.56
0x1e72…636b	Yes	2.56
0x3f6a…9837	Yes	2.56
0x4cd2…3f85	Yes	2.56
0x526e…c12c	Yes	2.56
0x54f7…eca4	Yes	2.56
0x55b4…5c0c	Yes	2.56
0x5762…268d	Yes	2.56
0x5853…cfff	Yes	2.56
0x5e3a…5a25	Yes	2.56
0x69b2…6a72	Yes	2.56
0x77f2…342b	Yes	2.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:10:47	BUY	No	0.6099998597	2	$1.00
15:10:47	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
15:10:44	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
15:10:44	BUY	No	0.6099998597	2	$1.00
15:10:44	BUY	No	0.6099998597	2	$1.00
14:50:05	SELL	No	0.6	8	$4.80
14:49:51	BUY	Yes	0.4099998975	2	$1.00
14:49:50	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00
14:49:48	BUY	Yes	0.4099998975	2	$1.00
14:49:48	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
14:49:48	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00
14:49:47	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00
14:49:45	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00
14:49:45	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
14:49:45	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
14:49:44	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
14:49:44	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00
14:49:42	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00
14:49:42	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
14:49:41	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
14:49:41	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
14:49:41	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00
14:49:39	BUY	Yes	0.4	3	$1.00
14:49:39	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00
14:49:39	BUY	No	0.6199998512	2	$1.00