0x58534eac8dc7b3fdbca78b7e3b72adaba9b2cfff
0x58534eac8dc7b3fdbca78b7e3b72adaba9b2cfff
- Realised P&L
- $-18.39
- Volume
- $145.66
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $0.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.365 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.52at 0.389Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.42at 0.480Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.97at 0.390US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$1.37at 0.620Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.649Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 09:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:23 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:40 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.19 |
| 09-23 02:18 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.19 |
| 09-20 04:11 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.19 |
| 09-19 09:42 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.19 |
| 09-13 23:07 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999392 | $2.19 |
| 09-13 00:22 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2799999847 | $2.19 |
| 09-08 08:30 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999931 | $2.19 |
| 09-01 04:42 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.19 |
| 08-29 08:26 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999137 | $2.19 |
| 08-28 21:41 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999182 | $1.72 |
| 08-23 10:03 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.5949999334 | $2.19 |
| 08-19 17:43 | Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.19 |
| 08-18 15:37 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.19 |