PolyBot

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Traders

bechamel

0xd322042a30de8e21855f35d064a734aa0c228503

Realised P&L
$-21.0k
Volume
$1.02M
Markets traded
8,781
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,781
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Matt Gay finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.7150.807$32.28+$3.68
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.8790.983$19.66+$2.08
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7? · No0.7980.973$19.46+$3.50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-07 House election by 12%-15%? · No0.8970.959$19.17+$1.23
Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 82.5% and 85%? · No0.7790.951$19.01+$3.43
Will Rayo Vallecano be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga? · No0.8550.888$17.77+$0.67
Will Brighton & Hove Albion finish first in UECL league phase? · No0.7610.840$16.79+$1.57
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $42B? · Yes0.9400.807$16.14−$2.66
Will Jacksonville State Gamecocks Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship? · No0.7300.755$15.10+$0.50
Will George Kittle have 1,124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8400.740$14.80−$2.00
Will BetBoom Make a Roster Change by December 31? · No0.7300.740$14.80+$0.20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 3%-6%? · No0.8280.703$14.06−$2.50
Will Dallas Goedert have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8700.780$14.04−$1.62
Will the Philadelphia Flyers record 90+ points? · No0.6100.695$13.90+$1.70
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026? · Yes0.6800.645$12.90−$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 14:13Will Matthew Stafford finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?SELL0.82$16.40
10-17 14:13Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 0%-3%?SELL0.9$18.00
10-17 14:12Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?SELL0.92$18.40
10-14 17:36Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.899$17.98
10-14 17:36Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?SELL0.9762825$19.53
10-14 17:36Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.976$30.26
10-02 15:15Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.33$1.01
10-02 15:15Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.5$1.01
10-02 15:15Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?SELL0.08$1.02
10-02 15:15Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?SELL0.111$1.11
10-02 15:15Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?SELL0.26$1.15
10-02 15:15Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?SELL0.81$1.20
10-02 15:15Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.059$1.18
10-02 15:15Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026?SELL0.06$1.20
10-02 15:15Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?SELL0.06$1.20