bechamel
0xd322042a30de8e21855f35d064a734aa0c228503
- Realised P&L
- $-21.0k
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Markets traded
- 8,781
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,781
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.115US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
- +$959.92at 0.580US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$727.20at 0.128US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$694.03at 0.100Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
- +$652.87at 0.024Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 14:13 | Will Matthew Stafford finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns? | SELL | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 10-17 14:13 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-17 14:12 | Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 10-14 17:36 | Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.899 | $17.98 |
| 10-14 17:36 | Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.9762825 | $19.53 |
| 10-14 17:36 | Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.976 | $30.26 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.01 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.01 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.02 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.111 | $1.11 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.15 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.20 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.059 | $1.18 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 10-02 15:15 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |