bechamel
0xd322042a30de8e21855f35d064a734aa0c228503
- Realised P&L
- $-14.1k
- Volume
- $762.8k
- Markets traded
- 5,853
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,853
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$959.92at 0.580US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$727.20at 0.128US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$694.03at 0.100Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
- +$652.87at 0.024Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$606.05at 0.020Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.65 |
| 09-17 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.68 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-17 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-16 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.60 |
| 09-16 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-16 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-16 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-16 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.04 |
| 09-16 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.53 |
| 09-16 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 09-16 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |