0x600A5936b199750583b4Cb354c5341C794d4BD08-1772603229480
0x600a5936b199750583b4cb354c5341c794d4bd08
- Realised P&L
- $-94.91
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $658.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · No | 0.625 | 0.635 | $498.45 | +$7.69 |
| Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.625 | $87.05 | +$48.05 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.332 | 0.315 | $73.23 | −$3.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.77at 0.746Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the Philippines by August 31?
- +$5.02at 0.590Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$4.25at 0.699US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$3.41at 0.855Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
- +$1.71at 0.690China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:24 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.13 | $32.24 |
| 09-17 03:39 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.1318262859 | $32.69 |
| 09-14 16:21 | Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 16:20 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.0593173318 | $21.25 |
| 09-13 18:00 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $60.70 |
| 09-10 17:33 | Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999986 | $39.00 |
| 09-04 14:28 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.6899999994 | $59.00 |
| 09-04 14:24 | Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the Philippines by August 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $59.57 |
| 08-22 14:47 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.4327465021 | $82.57 |
| 08-19 03:52 | Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the Philippines by August 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $29.60 |
| 08-05 17:40 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.3597378321 | $94.68 |
| 08-01 06:49 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.6799999971 | $64.68 |
| 07-26 02:15 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.3319953379 | $77.18 |
| 07-21 10:04 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $80.36 |
| 06-17 04:14 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.7495515397 | $120.34 |