0x600A5936b199750583b4Cb354c5341C794d4BD08-1772603229480
0x600a5936b199750583b4cb354c5341c794d4bd08
- Realised P&L
- $-88.45
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $489.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · No | 0.687 | 0.655 | $389.18 | −$19.01 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.332 | 0.280 | $65.09 | −$12.09 |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.375 | $35.67 | −$29.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.02at 0.590Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$4.25at 0.699US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$-0.24at 0.248Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.37at 0.211Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-0.70at 0.659LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 06:49 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.6799999971 | $64.68 |
| 07-26 02:15 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.3319953379 | $77.18 |
| 07-21 10:04 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $80.36 |
| 06-17 04:14 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.7495515397 | $120.34 |
| 06-17 04:14 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.333 | $124.30 |
| 06-17 00:24 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3329999985 | $124.30 |
| 06-12 08:34 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.03 | $4.56 |
| 06-10 07:59 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0659999943 | $10.03 |
| 06-02 04:48 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.6806486305 | $98.52 |
| 05-23 03:28 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.7199999968 | $8.97 |
| 05-23 03:27 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.6812179155 | $100.00 |
| 05-23 02:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $49.18 |
| 05-23 02:54 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $27.59 |
| 05-23 02:54 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.242 | $9.63 |
| 05-23 02:54 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.344 | $26.98 |