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Traders

0x54f7511f2ca2989a5c856e931ee13086e254eca4

0x54f7511f2ca2989a5c856e931ee13086e254eca4

Realised P&L
$-2.80
Volume
$86.57
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$5.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes0.2700.815$3.02+$2.02
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of September 28 2026? · No0.6101.000$1.64+$0.64
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes0.3900.365$0.94−$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2600.052$0.20−$0.80
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 12:06Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-02 03:09SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-01 13:37SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.75$1.00
10-01 05:32Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-30 09:31Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-30 00:16Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-28 15:29Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-28 07:01Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-27 22:45Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-27 14:44Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-27 05:45Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-26 21:28Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-26 12:36Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-26 04:36Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-24 08:08Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.7699999052$1.30
Trader 0x54f7511f2ca2989a5c856e931ee13086e254eca4 · PolyBot Pro