0x526e21a1e354efc1e9972c13d0ccdcf34f3ac12c
0x526e21a1e354efc1e9972c13d0ccdcf34f3ac12c
- Realised P&L
- $-61.65
- Volume
- $519.10
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $3.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.660 | 1.000 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? · Up | 0.690 | 1.000 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.365 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.05at 0.480S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?
- +$8.33at 0.550Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?
- +$4.08at 0.710US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$3.77at 0.728Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.41at 0.748WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 09:28 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:37 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:19 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:39 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $9.99 |