PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x576251dcfac0aae5478ec49305134550489e268d

0x576251dcfac0aae5478ec49305134550489e268d

Realised P&L
$4.01
Volume
$179.78
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$2.11

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes0.3900.365$0.94−$0.06
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? · No0.7600.420$0.55−$0.45
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · No0.6100.245$0.40−$0.60
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.055$0.22−$1.27
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes0.7700.001$0.00−$1.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 12:07Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-02 03:06Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-01 12:07S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-01 04:04Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-30 18:51Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-30 10:20Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
09-30 02:19SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
09-29 05:51Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-27 21:27Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-27 11:45Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-27 03:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.75$1.00
09-26 19:06Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-26 07:18Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.759999696$1.00
09-25 10:18Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-25 02:17S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25?BUY0.9299999907$1.00