PolyBot

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Traders

0x4cd2e2ba79b568e1ce5aa22ac098ebd2e9ea3f85

0x4cd2e2ba79b568e1ce5aa22ac098ebd2e9ea3f85

Realised P&L
$-2.89
Volume
$117.22
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$4.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.6900.855$1.97+$0.38
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.7500.997$1.33+$0.33
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes0.5100.650$1.27+$0.27
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.2600.003$0.01−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 02:38Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-30 08:10S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-26 08:13Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.749999625$1.00
09-26 08:11Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-25 10:08Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-25 02:01Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-24 12:01Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-03 13:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.4299998945$1.59
09-02 12:10SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 2?BUY0.5899999035$1.59
09-01 09:45Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4299998945$1.59
09-01 01:43Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.2099999115$1.59
08-22 01:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.7699999128$1.59
08-22 01:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.24$1.59
08-19 14:22Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?BUY0.64$1.59
08-18 14:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.4299998945$1.59