0x4cd2e2ba79b568e1ce5aa22ac098ebd2e9ea3f85
0x4cd2e2ba79b568e1ce5aa22ac098ebd2e9ea3f85
- Realised P&L
- $-2.89
- Volume
- $117.22
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $4.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.855 | $1.97 | +$0.38 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.997 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.650 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.07at 0.440Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?
- +$1.62at 0.500Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.50at 0.520S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:38 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:08 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:01 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 13:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4299998945 | $1.59 |
| 09-02 12:10 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 2? | BUY | 0.5899999035 | $1.59 |
| 09-01 09:45 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998945 | $1.59 |
| 09-01 01:43 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999115 | $1.59 |
| 08-22 01:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7699999128 | $1.59 |
| 08-22 01:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.59 |
| 08-19 14:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.59 |
| 08-18 14:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4299998945 | $1.59 |