PolyBot

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Traders

0x77f28cf1f0f43ad6baa8f475fc56790ab200342b

0x77f28cf1f0f43ad6baa8f475fc56790ab200342b

Realised P&L
$-14.96
Volume
$157.97
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$5.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in September? · Yes0.5300.570$1.08+$0.08
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No0.7800.755$0.97−$0.03
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? · No0.6900.665$0.96−$0.04
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.7300.560$0.77−$0.23
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes0.5900.335$0.57−$0.43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? · Yes0.8800.495$0.56−$0.44
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · No0.4200.190$0.45−$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:08Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-27 21:04Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-27 11:54Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-27 02:38Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-26 09:26Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in September?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-26 00:37Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
09-25 04:23Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-24 19:520 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUY0.78$1.00
09-24 11:46Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-21 14:10Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-21 06:06Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3499999825$3.00
09-20 22:03Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7599999595$3.00
09-19 07:21Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$3.00
09-16 07:35Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.48$3.00
09-15 23:33Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.659999934$3.00