0x77f28cf1f0f43ad6baa8f475fc56790ab200342b
0x77f28cf1f0f43ad6baa8f475fc56790ab200342b
- Realised P&L
- $-14.96
- Volume
- $157.97
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $5.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in September? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.570 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.755 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.665 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.730 | 0.560 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.335 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.495 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.190 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.02at 0.278Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.08at 0.590US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$1.87at 0.620Will Trump say "Smart" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.50at 0.669Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:08 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:04 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:54 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:38 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:26 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:23 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:52 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:46 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:10 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 06:06 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 22:03 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 07:21 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:35 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 23:33 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.659999934 | $3.00 |