0x0f75a34fc576d235c8387252a76df490e802a4db
0x0f75a34fc576d235c8387252a76df490e802a4db
- Realised P&L
- $10.74
- Volume
- $421.40
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $5.99
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.755 | $1.89 | +$0.89 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? · No | 0.730 | 0.795 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.805 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.755 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.365 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?
- +$5.11at 0.287Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:06 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:45 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:39 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:33 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:33 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7909999842 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 11:33 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:32 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 07:02 | Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 22:44 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:20 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |