PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x5e3a9f5639aa5ff0279d7159bbc7621b6fc45a25

0x5e3a9f5639aa5ff0279d7159bbc7621b6fc45a25

Realised P&L
$-2.31
Volume
$305.33
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$4.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes0.6400.815$1.27+$0.27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7600.949$1.25+$0.25
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes0.3900.365$0.94−$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7600.685$0.90−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 12:12Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-02 12:10Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-02 03:36Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-01 16:09S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.32$1.00
10-01 08:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-24 19:15Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-23 22:37Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$2.00
09-23 02:25Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.744999933$2.00
09-16 15:23Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
09-16 07:04SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
09-15 23:03Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299999807$2.00
09-14 14:13Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
09-12 14:45Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-12 03:48Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-03 08:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$2.00