PolyBot

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Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.041. down 0.130 over the period, from 0.170. Range 0.041 to 0.230. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0693030
0.0705181
0.07153134
0.08215149
0.09875224
0.09940264
0.10231296
0.11426322
0.12350372
0.12426398
0.13426424
0.139208632

Spread0.057Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0123030
0.011244274
0.010208482
0.0037489
0.002116605
0.0017,0797,683

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9883030
0.989244274
0.990208482
0.9977489
0.998116605
0.9997,0797,683

Spread0.057Mid0.960

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9313030
0.9305181
0.92953134
0.91815149
0.90275224
0.90140264
0.89831296
0.88626322
0.87750372
0.87626398
0.86626424
0.861208632

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes258.07
YellowMimosaYes150
0xf51b…ca1bYes100
mustbethewaterYes80
intelligence98Yes53
AJSVYes52.65
Numitus1994Yes51.48
tradetosurvive1Yes50.84
pootytherewardfarmerYes44
Dr.PNLYes43.31
JAMJAMJAM4Yes29
dsfd3Yes25
wert4Yes14.06
tryrktryYes5
e46m3Yes5
pppnnYes3.25
0xa5ef…2966No1,405.19
BeefSlayerNo214
LornaPredictsNo20.57

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:55:01BUYYes0.0210$0.20
17:29:03SELLYes0.050$0.01
17:48:39SELLYes0.078125$9.75
17:48:39BUYNo0.9350$46.50
16:50:54SELLYes0.081$0.05
16:41:02BUYNo0.9233$30.36
16:38:33BUYNo0.923716214749$45.57
16:38:32BUYNo0.9250$46.00
16:38:26BUYNo0.9250$46.00
16:38:26BUYNo0.925$4.60
11:56:07BUYYes0.1251$6.12
11:38:42BUYYes0.12125$15.00
10:21:48BUYNo0.919$8.19
10:19:43BUYNo0.915$4.55
10:19:43BUYNo0.9132$29.51
08:09:55SELLYes0.12$0.15
06:17:22BUYNo0.920$18.43
16:48:22BUYNo0.91310540$36.52
14:58:52SELLYes0.0936$3.23
03:21:06SELLNo0.865$4.30
03:21:06SELLNo0.865$4.30
03:21:03BUYYes0.1325$3.25
03:21:03BUYYes0.135$0.65
01:30:15BUYYes0.145$0.70
15:50:55BUYNo0.8721$18.27