intelligence98
0x6090fa9530ccb66936b3974689c4bbcf1bb46dbb
- Realised P&L
- $-589.04
- Volume
- $50.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,232
- Open portfolio
- $559.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,232
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.66at 0.372US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$66.00at 0.450Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$44.97at 0.400Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$40.00at 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$33.66at 0.370Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:54 | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? | BUY | 0.9609999999 | $19.40 |
| 08-03 03:54 | Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | BUY | 0.9289999967 | $19.40 |
| 08-03 03:54 | Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.993 | $15.14 |
| 08-02 21:53 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.9289999967 | $19.40 |
| 08-02 11:52 | Will Jeff Kober – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.9339999911 | $19.40 |
| 08-02 09:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.949999978 | $19.40 |
| 08-02 07:51 | Will Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $19.40 |
| 08-02 03:50 | Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 08-01 11:49 | Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999637 | $19.40 |
| 08-01 06:18 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $0.41 |
| 07-31 13:46 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999991 | $20.37 |
| 07-31 13:46 | Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999944 | $12.61 |
| 07-31 11:46 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 07-31 07:45 | Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.8899999972 | $12.61 |
| 07-31 07:45 | Will Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.94 | $20.37 |