PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

intelligence98

0x6090fa9530ccb66936b3974689c4bbcf1bb46dbb

Realised P&L
$-589.04
Volume
$50.1k
Markets traded
1,232
Open portfolio
$559.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,232
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · No0.9090.902$21.18$0.16
Will Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? · No0.9400.965$20.90+$0.53
Will Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? · No0.9160.934$20.77+$0.40
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement? · Yes0.9290.968$20.21+$0.81
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? · No0.9300.915$20.04$0.33
Will Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9000.905$19.51+$0.11
Will Jeff Kober – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? · No0.9340.936$19.44+$0.04
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? · Yes0.9580.959$19.41+$0.01
Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9700.966$19.32$0.08
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? · No0.9610.956$19.29$0.11
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9680.960$19.24$0.16
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? · No0.9590.951$19.24$0.16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.9500.935$19.09$0.31
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? · Yes0.9290.912$19.06$0.34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.9200.960$16.19+$0.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:54Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?BUY0.9609999999$19.40
08-03 03:54Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?BUY0.9289999967$19.40
08-03 03:54Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?SELL0.993$15.14
08-02 21:53Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?BUY0.9289999967$19.40
08-02 11:52Will Jeff Kober – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?BUY0.9339999911$19.40
08-02 09:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.949999978$19.40
08-02 07:51Will Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$19.40
08-02 03:50Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.97$19.40
08-01 11:49Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9679999637$19.40
08-01 06:18Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.976$0.41
07-31 13:46Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.9299999991$20.37
07-31 13:46Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?BUY0.8799999944$12.61
07-31 11:46Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?SELL0.98$14.70
07-31 07:45Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?BUY0.8899999972$12.61
07-31 07:45Will Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?BUY0.94$20.37