PolyBot

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Traders

0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b

0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b

Realised P&L
$10.6k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
12,171
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded12,171
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:11Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.50743$10.15
11-01 14:08Will it snow in Washington, DC by November 30?BUY0.53$53.00
11-01 14:01Will it snow in Nashville, TN by November 30?BUY0.75$37.50
11-01 13:59Will it snow in Cincinnati, OH by November 30?BUY0.58$2.90
11-01 13:49Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 30?BUY0.543$27.15
11-01 13:44Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?BUY0.6$45.39
11-01 13:29Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15?BUY0.4973920757$33.64
11-01 13:29Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15?BUY0.39$1.95
11-01 13:29Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15?BUY0.39$32.26
11-01 13:27Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15?BUY0.528294347$21.68
11-01 13:12Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31?BUY0.94$4.70
11-01 13:12Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31?BUY0.91$36.40
11-01 12:14Will Seattle have between 5.75 and 6.75 inches of precipitation in November?BUY0.18$3.60
11-01 12:13Will Seattle have between 5.75 and 6.75 inches of precipitation in November?BUY0.18$3.60
11-01 10:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?SELL0.303$6.06