0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
- Realised P&L
- $10.6k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 12,171
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12,171
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$460.04at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?
- +$440.81at 0.056Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?
- +$321.27at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on July 22?
- +$302.03at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?
- +$294.46at 0.337Will it rain in Denver, CO on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.50743 | $10.15 |
| 11-01 14:08 | Will it snow in Washington, DC by November 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 11-01 14:01 | Will it snow in Nashville, TN by November 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 11-01 13:59 | Will it snow in Cincinnati, OH by November 30? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 11-01 13:49 | Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 30? | BUY | 0.543 | $27.15 |
| 11-01 13:44 | Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15? | BUY | 0.6 | $45.39 |
| 11-01 13:29 | Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15? | BUY | 0.4973920757 | $33.64 |
| 11-01 13:29 | Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 11-01 13:29 | Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15? | BUY | 0.39 | $32.26 |
| 11-01 13:27 | Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15? | BUY | 0.528294347 | $21.68 |
| 11-01 13:12 | Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 11-01 13:12 | Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $36.40 |
| 11-01 12:14 | Will Seattle have between 5.75 and 6.75 inches of precipitation in November? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 11-01 12:13 | Will Seattle have between 5.75 and 6.75 inches of precipitation in November? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 11-01 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.303 | $6.06 |