PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b

Realised P&L
$8.0k
Volume
$833.6k
Markets traded
10,489
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,489
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:32Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 17?BUY0.95$19.95
09-17 05:31Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on September 17?BUY0.9$22.50
09-17 05:12Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?BUY0.39$19.50
09-17 05:07Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?BUY0.46$23.00
09-17 04:55Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 17?BUY0.07$1.75
09-17 04:53Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.94$23.50
09-17 03:52Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on September 16?BUY0.99876$24.97
09-17 03:48Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?BUY0.552$13.80
09-17 03:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.43$2.15
09-17 03:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.43$2.15
09-17 03:22Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 17?BUY0.32$3.56
09-17 03:21Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 17?BUY0.925636$23.14
09-17 02:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.46$2.30
09-17 02:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.46$3.68
09-17 02:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.495$9.90