0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
- Realised P&L
- $8.0k
- Volume
- $833.6k
- Markets traded
- 10,489
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,489
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$460.04at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?
- +$440.81at 0.056Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?
- +$321.27at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on July 22?
- +$294.46at 0.337Will it rain in Denver, CO on August 31?
- +$281.10at 0.014Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:32 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.95 |
| 09-17 05:31 | Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on September 17? | BUY | 0.9 | $22.50 |
| 09-17 05:12 | Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 09-17 05:07 | Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 09-17 04:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 09-17 04:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $23.50 |
| 09-17 03:52 | Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on September 16? | BUY | 0.99876 | $24.97 |
| 09-17 03:48 | Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.552 | $13.80 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.56 |
| 09-17 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.925636 | $23.14 |
| 09-17 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-17 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.46 | $3.68 |
| 09-17 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.495 | $9.90 |