Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-26
Resolves by: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.08 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.07 to 0.24. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	1,023	1,023
0.09	337	1,360
0.10	22	1,382
0.13	19	1,401
0.14	125	1,526
0.15	172	1,697
0.16	129	1,826
0.17	90	1,916
0.20	150	2,066
0.22	5	2,071
0.37	20	2,091
0.49	60	2,151

Spread0.02Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	1,018	1,018
0.05	393	1,411
0.04	20	1,431
0.03	2,500	3,931
0.01	408	4,339

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	1,018	1,018
0.95	393	1,411
0.96	20	1,431
0.97	2,500	3,931
0.99	408	4,339

Spread0.02Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	1,023	1,023
0.91	337	1,360
0.90	22	1,382
0.87	19	1,401
0.86	125	1,526
0.85	172	1,697
0.84	129	1,826
0.83	90	1,916
0.80	150	2,066
0.78	5	2,071
0.63	20	2,091
0.51	60	2,151

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	700
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	259.04
LornaPredicts	Yes	161.4
wert4	Yes	145.51
YellowMimosa	Yes	130
mustbethewater	Yes	80
tradetosurvive1	Yes	74.73
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	60.03
0xf51b…ca1b	Yes	58.74
Numitus1994	Yes	52.69
MTMTMT0	Yes	39
AJSV	Yes	28.45
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	28
dsfd3	Yes	25
HNla008	Yes	20
donthackme	Yes	5
tryrktry	Yes	5
Dr.PNL	Yes	4.99
PPMT	Yes	1.95
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,405.19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:40:51	SELL	Yes	0.07	10	$0.70
17:55:03	BUY	Yes	0.07431	10	$0.74
17:29:03	SELL	Yes	0.06	0	$0.01
16:38:26	BUY	No	0.92	45	$41.40
16:38:26	BUY	No	0.92	5	$4.60
12:24:33	BUY	Yes	0.1	10	$1.00
11:38:43	BUY	No	0.92085	10	$9.21
11:38:42	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
10:21:48	BUY	No	0.9	9	$8.10
10:19:43	BUY	No	0.9	5	$4.50
10:19:43	BUY	No	0.9	32	$29.19
08:09:55	SELL	Yes	0.1	2	$0.15
06:17:22	BUY	No	0.89	20	$18.23
17:12:21	SELL	Yes	0.17	5	$0.85
16:48:22	BUY	No	0.82	5	$4.10
16:48:22	BUY	No	0.8175	40	$32.70
16:48:22	BUY	No	0.84	35	$29.40
14:49:33	SELL	Yes	0.2	36	$7.17
09:24:33	BUY	Yes	0.21	5	$1.05
09:16:49	BUY	No	0.8	19	$14.99
03:21:03	BUY	Yes	0.21	5	$1.05
03:21:03	BUY	Yes	0.21	25	$5.25
03:21:03	BUY	Yes	0.2099999907	18	$3.82
01:30:15	BUY	Yes	0.21	5	$1.05
13:36:46	SELL	Yes	0.15	23	$3.48