PolyBot

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Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-08
Resolves by
https://elections.nz/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.097. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.101. Range 0.030 to 0.184. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1381818
0.140927
0.1412047
0.163552
0.47555107
0.47620127
0.51220147
0.75620167
0.91613180
0.91714194
0.91824218
0.920250468

Spread0.122Mid0.077

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0163030
0.0156797
0.01325122
0.0076128
0.00619147
0.005163310
0.004295604
0.00324629
0.0023771,006
0.0012821,287

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9843030
0.9856797
0.98725122
0.9936128
0.99419147
0.995163310
0.996295604
0.99724629
0.9983771,006
0.9992821,287

Spread0.122Mid0.923

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8621818
0.860927
0.8592047
0.837552
0.52555107
0.52420127
0.48820147
0.24420167
0.08413180
0.08314194
0.08224218
0.080250468

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes178.27
AJSVYes111.22
RetartsYes89.5
0xd0d9…30f2Yes87
xiaoaojiangYes55
0x774Cc57aC9c73d056939D94759F290FFd9Aa40F6-1751148649866Yes43.81
addi444Yes26.95
LavinceyYes21.58
wozaitaibeiYes15
hdjdjdjhshhYes10
yiuyooYes10
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes8.18
donthackmeYes8.11
Bsau4Yes5
Hugin-og-MuninYes5
tryrktryYes5
PollyForgeYes5
Monstredu38Yes5
animal.beanYes5
godblessme2026Yes2.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:26:38BUYYes0.01210$0.12
01:13:04BUYYes0.019523623651$1.00
00:52:37BUYNo0.9914$4.41
00:52:37BUYNo0.99120$19.82
00:52:37BUYNo0.98810$9.88
03:39:05SELLYes0.0032668884201$0.66
16:02:59BUYYes0.00640$0.24
16:02:40BUYYes0.005100$0.50
13:01:56SELLYes0.00510$0.05
14:48:42BUYYes0.0085$0.04
14:48:40BUYYes0.0085$0.04
14:12:13SELLYes0.00810$0.08
11:37:51BUYYes0.015$0.05
08:40:04BUYYes0.016$0.06
08:40:01BUYYes0.016$0.06
17:50:18BUYYes0.015$0.05
17:50:16BUYYes0.015$0.05
17:50:15BUYYes0.015$0.05
17:50:10BUYYes0.015$0.05
17:50:09BUYYes0.015$0.05
17:50:06BUYYes0.015$0.05
12:08:24BUYYes0.0225$0.11
11:49:58BUYYes0.0225$0.11
11:49:30BUYYes0.0225$0.11
11:49:28BUYYes0.0225$0.11